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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.AppLovin closed down nearly 15%, the biggest one-day drop since August 2022.Personal pension is about to be fully rolled out: it is necessary to "divide the product shelves". Since it was officially launched in November 2022, the personal pension system has entered its third year. Insiders told reporters that according to the relevant arrangements, on the basis of the pilot experience in 36 cities, the system will soon be implemented nationwide, and the relevant deployment is imminent. Taking personal pension as the starting point, financial institutions' sense of participation in pension finance has been continuously improved, product shelves connected with personal pension system have been continuously enriched, and people's awareness of pension reserves has also been improved. Judging from the pilot situation, under the "enthusiastic offensive" of major banks, insurance, funds and other institutions, although it is not difficult to increase the number of accounts opened, problems such as "cold deposit" and "idle accounts" still exist. Related issues are the result of multiple factors interweaving, and people in the industry expect relevant policies to be optimized. When the personal pension system is about to be fully rolled out, how to make this pension reserve related to people's livelihood applaud and make a seat? Experts suggest that with the continuous expansion and upgrading of various products, product shelves need to be layered, strengthen differentiated advantages, and improve public participation and capital use efficiency. At the same time, optimize product design and policy support to ensure the fairness and operability of layered products, so as to realize the long-term sustainable development of individual pension system. (CSI)

Bitcoin quickly rebounded by $1,500 and is now reported at $95,500.The cost performance ratio of dividend asset allocation is once again highlighted, and institutions are optimistic about the current layout window period. On December 9, the three major stock indexes in the A-share market fluctuated and closed down, and the petroleum, petrochemical, steel and public utilities sectors with high dividend characteristics were among the top gainers. According to industry insiders, recently, dividend-related ETFs have been allocated more market funds, and the superimposed long-term interest rate has once again broken through the previous shock center. The price/performance ratio of the high dividend sector, which is not prominent in this round of increase, will once again be highlighted. The end of the year to January next year is the allocation window of high dividend assets. It is recommended to actively seize the opportunities in the direction of banks, coal and other industries. (CSI)The FTSE A50 index closed up 0.84% at 14,188 points in a row.

Turkey will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e port on the Turkish-Syrian border. On the 9th, Turkish President Erdogan said that his country will reopen the Ya 'Ilada 'e border port in Hatay province in the southeast, which is adjacent to Syria, so as to facilitate Syrian refugees in Turkey to return home.Industrial integration has injected new vitality, and the activity of mergers and acquisitions has increased. The data shows that since the beginning of this year, a total of 132 A-share companies have issued announcements related to mergers and acquisitions, compared with 82 in the same period last year. Among them, since the release of "Six Articles on Mergers and Acquisitions", nearly 50 listed companies have issued relevant announcements on mergers and acquisitions, and the process of mergers and acquisitions of listed companies has accelerated. Experts said that under the impetus of policies, the activity of mergers and acquisitions has been significantly improved, and industrial integration has become the main logic of mergers and acquisitions. Listed companies can seize the favorable opportunity of capital operation to promote mergers and acquisitions, which can quickly broaden their business fields, enrich their product matrix and achieve greater and stronger results. (china securities journal)Insurance companies are busy "enriching blood". This year, the scale of issuing bonds has exceeded 100 billion yuan. Since this year, insurance companies have intensively increased capital to issue bonds "enriching blood". According to the statistics of reporters, as of December 9, a total of 13 insurance companies have issued capital supplementary bonds or perpetual bonds, with a total issuance scale exceeding 100 billion yuan. There are also many small and medium-sized insurance companies that have supplemented their capital by increasing capital and shares. According to industry insiders, 2024 is the last year of the transition period of the second-generation and second-phase rules, and some insurance companies replenish their capital by increasing capital and issuing bonds to ease the capital pressure. Increasing capital and issuing bonds will help insurance companies improve their solvency, resist risks and promote the steady development of their business. (CSI)